Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.320325 0.373031 0.428639 0.491392 0.559955 0.632321 0.714201
2024-12-29 0.250142 0.322853 0.404506 0.501836 0.613558 0.736721 0.881690
2025-01-05 0.191085 0.273779 0.372506 0.496308 0.644729 0.814463 1.020753
2025-01-12 0.148662 0.236592 0.348005 0.494384 0.676706 0.891783 1.160140
2025-01-19 0.121016 0.212978 0.336090 0.504612 0.721404 0.983723 1.317953
2025-01-26 0.101216 0.196237 0.330133 0.520228 0.771650 1.082406 1.485197
2025-02-02 0.085285 0.182042 0.325277 0.535587 0.820733 1.179772 1.652043
2025-02-09 0.067656 0.161639 0.308749 0.532771 0.844531 1.244643 1.778825
2025-02-16 0.056211 0.149115 0.301991 0.542194 0.883821 1.329150 1.930854
2025-02-23 0.044486 0.133388 0.288150 0.539679 0.905683 1.390518 2.053616
2025-03-02 0.032013 0.112735 0.263516 0.518657 0.899858 1.414097 2.127016
2025-03-09 0.025953 0.103879 0.257431 0.524957 0.932166 1.488435 2.266786
2025-03-16 0.018741 0.090037 0.241059 0.514293 0.940035 1.530726 2.366625
2025-03-23 0.016140 0.087232 0.244646 0.535831 0.995679 1.639318 2.555917
2025-03-30 0.012119 0.078658 0.235960 0.536265 1.019469 1.704012 2.687286
2025-04-06 0.009003 0.071229 0.228416 0.537818 1.044544 1.770530 2.821649
2025-04-13 0.007174 0.067317 0.227612 0.550720 1.087072 1.862031 2.990719
2025-04-20 0.005907 0.064892 0.229645 0.568489 1.137303 1.964917 3.176152
2025-04-27 0.004804 0.062465 0.231313 0.585492 1.186520 2.066857 3.361210
2025-05-04 0.003223 0.056007 0.222646 0.582915 1.204319 2.123585 3.484422
2025-05-11 0.002375 0.052702 0.221026 0.593155 1.242632 2.210288 3.649726
2025-05-18 0.001459 0.047224 0.213021 0.590622 1.259892 2.266250 3.772617
2025-05-25 0.000596 0.038864 0.195601 0.568372 1.243704 2.272330 3.825380